信贷供给与住房价格

Credit Supply and the Price of Housing

American Economic Review · 2015
被引 593 · 同刊同年前 6%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

利用1994至2005年间美国银行分支放松管制作为工具变量,发现抵押信贷的外生扩张显著推高房价,且影响程度取决于住房供给弹性。

Abstract

An exogenous expansion in mortgage credit has significant effects on house prices. This finding is established using US branching deregulations between 1994 and 2005 as instruments for credit. Credit increases for deregulated banks, but not in placebo samples. Such differential responses rule out demand-based explanations, and identify an exogenous credit supply shock. Because of geographic diver-sification, treated banks expand credit: housing demand increases, house prices rise, but to a lesser extent in areas with elastic housing supply, where the housing stock increases instead. In an instrumental variable sense, house prices are well explained by the credit expansion induced by deregulation.

信贷供给房价银行管制放松住房供给弹性