基于州商业周期相似性的美国经济区域替代定义

An Alternative Definition of Economic Regions in the United States Based on Similarities in State Business Cycles

Review of Economics and Statistics · 2005
被引 104
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

用k均值聚类法,根据各州商业周期的相似性将美国48个州重新划分为8个区域,并与BEA的传统区域划分比较,检验新定义对区域商业周期分析结果的影响。

Abstract

Since the 1950s the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) has grouped the states into eight regions based primarily on cross-sectional similarities in their socioeconomic characteristics. This paper groups states into regions based on the similarities in their business cycles. We applied k-means cluster analysis to the cyclical components of Stock-Watson-type indices estimated at the state level to group the 48 contiguous states into eight regions with similar cycles. We then compare the cohesion of the regions so defined with the cohesion of the BEA regions. Finally, we examine how that definition affects the results of some recent regional business cycle analysis. © 2005 President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

经济区域划分商业周期聚类分析州级经济指标