土地价格动态与宏观经济波动

Land-Price Dynamics and Macroeconomic Fluctuations

Econometrica · 2013
被引 377 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究发现土地价格与商业投资的正向联动是土地价格影响宏观经济的关键机制,通过将土地作为企业信贷抵押品并识别驱动土地价格波动的冲击,模型放大了经济波动。

Abstract

We argue that positive co-movements between land prices and business investment are a driving force behind the broad impact of land-price dynamics on the macroeconomy. We develop an economic mechanism that captures the co-movements by incorporating two key features into a DSGE model: We introduce land as a collateral asset in firms' credit constraints, and we identify a shock that drives most of the observed fluctuations in land prices. Our estimates imply that these two features combine to generate an empirically important mechanism that amplifies and propagates macroeconomic fluctuations through the joint dynamics of land prices and business investment.

土地价格商业投资DSGE模型信贷约束