A Spatial Analysis of Delegate Voting at the Constitutional Convention
构建了涵盖600多次实质投票的代表级数据,估计代表的一维立场并解释其影响因素,提出识别州中位数和全体中位数的方法,用于预测制宪会议的均衡结果。
Previous studies of the U.S. Constitutional Convention have relied on votes recorded for the state blocs or a relatively small number of delegate votes. We construct a new data set covering delegate votes on over 600 substantive roll calls, and use the data in several ways. First, we estimate a single dimensional position for the delegates which reflects their overall voting patterns. Next, we explain these positions using a variety of delegate and constituent variables. Finally, we suggest a method for identifying state and floor medians, which can be used to predict equilibrium outcomes at the Convention.