银行、低利率与货币政策传导

Banks, Low Interest Rates, and Monetary Policy Transmission

Journal of Finance · 2025
被引 9 · 同刊同年前 8%
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究利率长期下降如何影响银行的中介利差和信贷供给,发现低利率压缩存款利差,导致银行权益和贷款长期收缩,提高通胀目标可缓解但需付出流动性溢价代价。

Abstract

ABSTRACT I study how the secular decline in interest rates affects banks' intermediation spreads and credit supply. Following a permanent decrease in rates, bank lending may rise initially but contracts in the long run. As lower rates compress deposit spreads even well above the zero lower bound, banks' retained earnings, equity, and lending fall until loan spreads have risen enough to offset the reduction in deposit spreads. A higher inflation target can support bank lending at the cost of higher liquidity premia. I find support for the model's predictions in U.S. aggregate and bank‐level data.

低利率银行中介利差信贷供给货币政策传导