Moving to Opportunity or Isolation? Network Effects of a Randomized Housing Lottery in Urban India
研究印度城市贫民窟居民通过住房抽签获得郊区改善住房后的长期影响,发现14年后住房改善但收入、人力资本无变化,且与家庭和种姓网络隔离加剧,非正式保险减少,项目退出率高,表明该昂贵公共项目的长期经济价值微乎其微。
A housing lottery in an Indian city provided winning slum dwellers the opportunity to move into improved housing on the city's periphery. Fourteen years later, winners report improved housing but no change in tenure security, family income, or human capital. Winners also report increased isolation from family and caste networks and reduced informal insurance. We observe significant program exit: 34 percent of winners never took up subsidized housing and 32 percent eventually exited. Our results suggest negligible long-run economic value of this expensive public program and point to the importance of considering social networks in housing programs for the poor.