市场对有形信息和无形信息的反应

Market Reactions to Tangible and Intangible Information

Journal of Finance · 2006
被引 1049 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

发现股票未来收益与过去会计业绩无关,但与过去“无形”收益(与业绩正交的部分)强负相关;账面市值比因代理无形收益而预测收益,综合股权发行量也独立预测收益。

Abstract

ABSTRACT The book‐to‐market effect is often interpreted as evidence of high expected returns on stocks of “distressed” firms with poor past performance. We dispute this interpretation. We find that while a stock's future return is unrelated to the firm's past accounting‐based performance, it is strongly negatively related to the “intangible” return, the component of its past return that is orthogonal to the firm's past performance. Indeed, the book‐to‐market ratio forecasts returns because it is a good proxy for the intangible return. Also, a composite equity issuance measure, which is related to intangible returns, independently forecasts returns.

账面市值比效应无形资产回报股票预期收益股权发行