大数据报童模型:来自机器学习的实践洞察

The Big Data Newsvendor: Practical Insights from Machine Learning

Operations Research · 2018
被引 521 · 同刊同年前 1%
FT 50UTD 24ABS 4★

中文导读

提出一种机器学习方法,直接利用大数据预测库存决策,避免中间需求预测步骤,在护士排班案例中比传统方法成本降低24%。

Abstract

In Ban and Rudin’s (2018) “The Big Data Newsvendor: Practical Insights from Machine Learning,” the authors take an innovative machine-learning approach to a classic problem solved by almost every company, every day, for inventory management. By allowing companies to use large amounts of data to predict the correct answers to decisions directly, they avoid intermediate questions, such as “how many customers will we get tomorrow?” and instead can tell the company how much inventory to stock for these customers. This has implications for almost all other decision-making problems considered in operations research, which has traditionally considered data estimation separately from the decision optimization. Their proposed methods are shown to work both analytically and empirically with the latter explored in a hospital nurse staffing example in which the best one-step, feature-based newsvendor algorithm (the kernel-weights optimization method) is shown to beat the best-practice benchmark by 24% in the out-of-sample cost at a fraction of the speed.

运营管理库存管理机器学习报童模型数据驱动决策