大宗商品价格的共同因子

Common factors of commodity prices

Journal of Applied Econometrics · 2021
被引 64 · 同刊同年前 4%
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

从燃料和非燃料大宗商品价格中提取潜在因子,发现一个全球因子能解释大部分价格波动,且自2000年代初以来其重要性增加。

Abstract

Summary In this paper, we extract latent factors from a large cross‐section of commodity prices, including fuel and non‐fuel commodities. We decompose each commodity price series into a global (or common) component, block‐specific components, and a purely idiosyncratic component. We find that the bulk of the fluctuations in commodity prices are well summarized by a single global factor. This global factor is closely related to fluctuations in global economic activity and, since the early 2000s, has become more important in explaining variations in commodity prices.

商品价格共同因子全球经济活动