当模型不拟合时的政策预测

Policy Predictions If the Model Does Not Fit

Journal of the European Economic Association · 2005
被引 14
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

使用一种新方法,在DSGE模型可能设定错误的情况下进行政策分析,并应用于一个简单的新凯恩斯DSGE模型,说明结果对模型错误设定政策不变性假设的敏感性。

Abstract

Abstract: This paper uses a novel method for conducting policy analysis with potentially misspecified DSGE models (Del Negro and Schorfheide 2004) and applies it to a simple New Keynesian DSGE model. We illustrate the sensitivity of the results to assumptions on the policy invariance of model misspecifications.

DSGE模型误设定政策分析贝叶斯分析