经验抽样与图形展示对投资风险偏好的作用

The Role of Experience Sampling and Graphical Displays on One's Investment Risk Appetite

Management Science · 2012
被引 216
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究通过实验比较四种风险展示方式(数值描述、经验抽样、图形展示及组合工具)对投资者风险承担行为和风险收益记忆准确性的影响,发现组合工具和经验抽样会提高风险资产配置。

Abstract

Financial professionals have a great deal of discretion concerning how to relay information about the risk of financial products to their clients. This paper introduces a new risk tool to communicate the risk of investment products, and it examines how different risk-presentation modes influence risk-taking behavior and investors' recall ability of the risk-return profile of financial products. We analyze four different ways of communicating risk: (i) numerical descriptions, (ii) experience sampling, (iii) graphical displays, and (iv) a combination of these formats in the “risk tool.” Participants receive information about a risky and a risk-free fund and make an allocation between the two in an experimental investment portfolio. We find that risky allocations are elevated in both the risk tool and experience sampling conditions. Greater risky allocations in the risk tool condition are associated with decreased risk perception, increased confidence in the risky fund, and a lower estimation of the probability of a loss. In addition to these favorable perceptions of the risky fund, participants in the risk tool condition are more accurate on recall questions regarding the expected return and the probability of a loss. We find no evidence of greater dissatisfaction with returns in these conditions, and we observe a willingness to take on similar levels of risk in subsequent allocations. This paper was accepted by Teck Ho, behavioral economics.

风险呈现方式经验抽样图形展示风险偏好