美国M1需求:对Baba、Hendry和Starr的评论

The Demand for M1 in the United States: A Comment on Baba, Hendry and Starr

Economic Journal · 1993
被引 13
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

用同一数据集估计了替代模型,指出Baba等人(1992)的误差修正模型改进主要来自复杂动态而非金融创新变量,且部分经济性质对模型设定变化不稳健。

Abstract

A recent paper by Y. Baba, D. Hendry, and R. Starr (1992) presents an error-correction model of the demand for M1 in the United States, which shows a dramatic improvement in both fit and stability over earlier models. This note estimates an alternative model with the same data set and draws two conclusions: that the improvements are due more to the use of complex dynamics than to the introduction of variables representing financial innovation and that some of the economic properties are not robust with respect to minor changes in specification. Copyright 1993 by Royal Economic Society.

M1需求误差修正模型金融创新模型稳健性