区域异质性与货币政策的再融资渠道

Regional Heterogeneity and the Refinancing Channel of Monetary Policy*

Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2018
被引 318
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

利用贷款级数据,研究发现住房权益的区域分布随时间变化,影响抵押再融资对利率下调的响应,进而影响货币政策的总体效果和区域消费不平等。

Abstract

We argue that the time-varying regional distribution of housing equity influences the aggregate consequences of monetary policy through its effects on mortgage refinancing. Using detailed loan-level data, we show that regional differences in housing equity affect refinancing and spending responses to interest rate cuts, but these effects vary over time with changes in the regional distribution of house price growth. We build a heterogeneous household model of refinancing with mortgage borrowers and lenders and use it to explore the monetary policy implications arising from our regional evidence. We find that the 2008 equity distribution made spending in depressed regions less responsive to interest rate cuts, thus dampening aggregate stimulus and increasing regional consumption inequality, whereas the opposite occurred in some earlier recessions. Taken together, our results strongly suggest that monetary policy makers should track the regional distribution of equity over time.

区域异质性住房权益抵押贷款再融资货币政策传导