风险、延迟与凸性自我控制成本

Risk, Delay, and Convex Self-Control Costs

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics · 2011
被引 53
人大 AABS 3

中文导读

构建了一个与宏观经济学理论兼容的双重自我模型,用凸性自我控制成本解释了阿莱悖论等风险异常,以及风险与延迟的交互作用,并通过校准获得定量拟合。

Abstract

We develop a dual-self model of self-control that is compatible with modern dynamic macroeconomic theory and evidence. We show that a convex cost of self-control explains a wide range of behavioral anomalies concerning risk, including the Allais paradox, and also explains the observed interaction between risk and delay. We calibrate the model to obtain a quantitative fit. We find that most of the data can be explained with subjective interest rates in the range of 1–7 percent, short-run relative risk aversion of about two, and a time horizon of one day for the short-run self.

双自我模型自我控制成本风险偏好时间延迟