范围依赖效用

Range-Dependent Utility

Management Science · 2017
被引 0
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

提出范围依赖效用作为风险决策的新框架,其中效用取决于彩票结果的范围,并预测了期望效用悖论,无需概率加权。

Abstract

First, this paper introduces and axiomatizes range-dependent utility as a new conceptual framework for decision making under risk. It is a simple and well-defined generalization of expected utility theory in which utility depends on the range of lottery outcomes. Second, a special case of this framework is proposed for prediction. It is based on applying a single utility function (decision utility) to every normalized lottery range. The resultant decision utility model predicts well-known expected utility paradoxes without recourse to probability weighting. Necessary and sufficient conditions for the model to satisfy monotonicity with respect to first-order stochastic dominance are identified. The typical decision utility function, which is confirmed by both experimental data and normative considerations, is S shaped. This paper was accepted by Manel Baucells, decision analysis.

范围依赖效用决策效用期望效用悖论S形效用函数