Does Terrorism Work?
利用1988至2006年以色列恐怖袭击的地理差异，发现袭击促使以色列人更愿向巴勒斯坦让步，但超过阈值则效果相反；同时恐怖袭击使右翼政党左转，整体政治格局左移。
This paper examines whether terrorism is an effective tool for achieving political goals. By exploiting geographic variation in terror attacks in Israel from 1988 to 2006, we show that local terror attacks cause Israelis to be more willing to grant territorial concessions to the Palestinians. These effects are stronger for demographic groups that are traditionally right-wing in their political views. However, terror attacks beyond a certain threshold cause Israelis to adopt a less accommodating position. In addition, terror induces Israelis to vote increasingly for right-wing parties, as the right-wing parties move to the left in response to terror. Hence, terrorism appears to be an effective strategy in terms of shifting the entire political landscape to the left, although we do not assess whether it is more effective than non-violent means. (c) 2010 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology..