人口结构与货币政策冲击

Demographics and Monetary Policy Shocks

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking · 2021
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究发现老年家庭消费对货币政策冲击的反应比年轻和中年家庭更敏感,扩张性政策使老年家庭消费三年内增长1.7%,并构建生命周期模型解释这一现象。

Abstract

Abstract We show that consumption expenditures for older households are more responsive to monetary policy shocks than for young‐ or middle‐aged households. A one‐standard‐deviation expansionary monetary policy shock induces a statistically significant and quantitatively large (1.7%) increase in aggregate consumption for old households over the ensuing 3 years. The responses for young‐ and middle‐aged households are smaller and not statistically significant. We also present evidence, suggesting that life‐cycle wealth effects play a role in driving the responses. We then build the wealth mechanism into a partial equilibrium life‐cycle model, which can qualitatively match the empirical patterns.

货币政策冲击年龄异质性消费反应生命周期财富效应