避免流动性陷阱

Avoiding Liquidity Traps

Journal of Political Economy · 2002
被引 361
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究零利率下限下泰勒规则引发的自我实现的通缩路径和流动性陷阱,并提出财政与货币政策来消除通缩预期,同时保持泰勒规则的优点。

Abstract

Once the zero bound on nominal interest rates is taken into account, Taylor-type interest rate feedback rules give rise to unintended self-fulfilling decelerating inflation paths and aggregate fluctuations driven by arbitrary revisions in expectations. These undesirable equilibria exhibit the essential features of liquidity traps since monetary policy is ineffective in bringing about the government's goals regarding the stability of output and prices. This paper proposes several fiscal and monetary policies that preserve the appealing features of Taylor rules, such as local uniqueness of equilibrium near the inflation target, and at the same time rule out the deflationary expectations that can lead an economy into a liquidity trap.

流动性陷阱泰勒规则零利率下限自我实现预期