变色龙:金融与经济学中理论模型的误用

Chameleons: The Misuse of Theoretical Models in Finance and Economics

Economica · 2018
被引 25
ABS 3

中文导读

讨论金融与经济学中的理论模型如何被误用为“变色龙”,即基于与现实世界联系可疑的假设却盲目应用于理解经济,从而贬低知识价值并混淆政策辩论。

Abstract

In this paper I discuss how theoretical models in finance and economics are used in ways that make them ‘chameleons’, and how chameleons devalue the intellectual currency and muddy policy debates. A model becomes a chameleon when it is built on assumptions with dubious connections to the real world but nevertheless has conclusions that are uncritically (or not critically enough) applied to understanding our economy. I discuss how chameleons are created and nurtured by the mistaken notion that one should not judge a model by its assumptions, by the unfounded argument that models should have equal standing until definitive empirical tests are conducted, and by misplaced appeals to ‘as if’ arguments, mathematical elegance, subtlety, assumptions that are ‘standard in the literature’, and the need for tractability.

金融学经济学方法论理论模型政策辩论