可信承诺与最优逃离流动性陷阱:独立央行资产负债表的作用

Credible Commitment to Optimal Escape from a Liquidity Trap: The Role of the Balance Sheet of an Independent Central Bank

American Economic Review · 2007
被引 122
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

指出,央行盯住CPI通胀会削弱其承诺超调通胀以逃离流动性陷阱的能力,而独立央行对资本和资产负债表的关注恰好提供了可信承诺机制,最优政策可采取货币贬值加爬行盯住的方式。

Abstract

Central banks target CPI inflation; independent central banks are concerned about their balance sheet and the level of their capital. The first fact makes it difficult for a central bank to implement the optimal escape from a liquidity trap, because it undermines a commitment to overshoot the inflation target. We show that the second fact provides a solution. Capital concerns provide a mechanism for an independent central bank to commit to inflate ex post. The optimal policy can take the form of a currency depreciation combined with a crawling peg, a policy advocated by Svensson as the “Foolproof Way” to escape from a liquidity trap.

流动性陷阱中央银行独立性资产负债表通胀承诺