非参数随机波动率

NONPARAMETRIC STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY

Econometric Theory · 2018
被引 26
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

提出非参数方法建模随机波动率,允许收益率和波动率具有非线性漂移与扩散、杠杆效应及状态依赖跳跃,通过两步估计识别瞬时波动率并提取动态函数。

Abstract

We provide nonparametric methods for stochastic volatility modeling. Our methods allow for the joint evaluation of return and volatility dynamics with nonlinear drift and diffusion functions, nonlinear leverage effects, and jumps in returns and volatility with possibly state-dependent jump intensities, among other features. In the first stage, we identify spot volatility by virtue of jump-robust nonparametric estimates. Using observed prices and estimated spot volatilities, the second stage extracts the functions and parameters driving price and volatility dynamics from nonparametric estimates of the bivariate process’ infinitesimal moments . For these infinitesimal moment estimates, we report an asymptotic theory relying on joint in-fill and long-span arguments which yields consistency and weak convergence under mild assumptions.

非参数随机波动跳跃稳健估计无穷小矩杠杆效应