Reconciling Value Estimates from the Discounted Cash Flow Model and the Residual Income Model*
指出实务和研究中贴现现金流模型与剩余收益模型常给出不同估值,但正确实施下两者对所有公司所有年份的估值应一致,并揭示了先前研究中不一致假设导致的巨大差异。
Abstract This paper examines why practitioners and researchers get different estimates of equity value when they use a discounted cash flow (CF) model versus a residual income (RI) model. Both models are derived from the same underlying assumption — that price is the present value of expected future net dividends discounted at the cost of equity capital — but in practice and in research they frequently yield different estimates. We argue that the research literature devoted to comparing the accuracy of these two models is misguided; properly implemented, both models yield identical valuations for all firms in all years. We identify how prior research has applied inconsistent assumptions to the two models and show how these seemingly small errors cause surprisingly large differences in the value estimates.