投资与规划和建设时间:意大利企业面板中建筑与设备的比较

Investment and Time to Plan and Build: A Comparison of Structures vs. Equipment in A Panel of Italian Firms

Journal of the European Economic Association · 2008
被引 41
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

利用意大利企业年度投资数据,估计了建筑和设备投资的建设时间模型,发现设备投资无超过一年的建设期效应,而建筑投资有2-3年的建设期效应,且初期支出低、后期增加,为包含规划时间的投资模型提供了实证支持。

Abstract

"Time-to-build" models of investment expenditures play an important role in many traditional and modern theories of the business cycle, especially for explaining the dynamic propagation of shocks. We estimate the structural parameters of a time-to-build model using annual firm-level investment data on equipment and structures. For expenditures on equipment, we find no evidence of time-to-build effects beyond one year. For expenditures on structures, by contrast, there is clear evidence of such effects in the range of two to three years. The contrast between equipment and structures is intuitively reasonable and consistent with previous results. The estimates for structures also indicate that initial-period expenditures are low and increase as projects near completion. These results provide empirical support for including "time-to-plan" effects for investment in structures. More generally, these results suggest a potential source of specification error for Q models of investment and production-based asset pricing models that ignore the time required to plan, build, and install new capital.

投资时滞建设周期设备投资建筑投资意大利企业