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迷信能创造自我实现的预言吗?中国龙年孩子的学业成果

Can Superstition Create a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy? School Outcomes of Dragon Children in China

Journal of Human Capital · 2020
被引 26
ABS 3

中文导读

研究发现中国龙年出生的学生更可能获得大学学位和更高高考分数,因为家长对龙年孩子期望更高、投入更多,形成了自我实现的预言。

Abstract

In China, those who have a dragon zodiac sign are believed to be destined for greatness. We find that if Chinese students are born in a dragon year, they are more likely to have a college degree and receive higher university entrance exam scores. Similarly, Chinese middle school dragon students have higher test scores. The “dragon effect” on test scores is eliminated when we account for parents’ expectations of their children. Dragon parents have higher expectations, and they invest more in their children. Although dragon children are not inherently different, the belief in the prophecy of success and the ensuing investment become self-fulfilling.

教育经济学文化经济学行为经济学中国研究