Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Theory and Practice
提出一个理论框架来嵌套因果同质性假设，并用兄弟姐妹性别构成作为工具变量，估计生育对经济和婚姻结果的影响，发现生育会减少劳动供给并增加贫困。
Instrumental Variables (IV) methods identify internally valid causal effects for individuals whose treatment status is manipulable by the instrument at hand. Inference for other populations requires homogeneity assumptions. This paper outlines a theoretical framework that nests causal homogeneity assumptions. These ideas are illustrated using sibling-sex composition to estimate the effect of childbearing on economic and marital outcomes. The application is motivated by American welfare reform. The empirical results generally support the notion of reduced labour supply and increased poverty as a consequence of childbearing but evidence on the impact of childbearing on marital stability and welfare use is more tenuous.