线性混合效应模型中的分布式贝叶斯推断

Distributed Bayesian Inference in Linear Mixed-Effects Models

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics · 2021
被引 9
ABS 3

中文导读

针对大规模数据下线性混合效应模型的贝叶斯推断,提出一种新的WASP算法,能高效计算多元参数的后验分布,且优于现有方法。

Abstract

Linear mixed-effects models play a fundamental role in statistical methodology. A variety of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms exist for fitting these models, but they are inefficient in massive data settings because every iteration of any such MCMC algorithm passes through the full data. Many divide-and-conquer methods have been proposed to solve this problem, but they lack theoretical guarantees, impose restrictive assumptions, or have complex computational algorithms. Our focus is one such method called the Wasserstein Posterior (WASP), which has become popular due to its optimal theoretical properties under general assumptions. Unfortunately, practical implementation of the WASP either requires solving a complex linear program or is limited to one-dimensional parameters. The former method is inefficient and the latter method fails to capture the joint posterior dependence structure of multivariate parameters. We develop a new algorithm for computing the WASP of multivariate parameters that is easy to implement and is useful for computing the WASP in any model where the posterior distribution of parameter belongs to a location-scatter family of probability measures. The algorithm is introduced for linear mixed-effects models with both implementation details and theoretical properties. Our algorithm outperforms the current state-of-the-art method in inference on the functions of the covariance matrix of the random effects across diverse numerical comparisons. Supplemental materials for this article are available online.

贝叶斯推断线性混合效应模型分布式计算马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛