一类部分识别模型的渐近性质

Asymptotic Properties for a Class of Partially Identified Models

Econometrica · 2008
被引 262
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

针对一类部分识别的总体特征提出推断方法,该特征可表示为集值随机变量Aumann期望的变换。作者扩展类比原理,证明样本估计量依Hausdorff距离收敛到总体识别区域,并推导了Hausdorff距离的渐近分布,提供bootstrap程序以构建置信集合。

Abstract

We propose inference procedures for partially identified population features for which the population identification region can be written as a transformation of the Aumann expectation of a properly defined set valued random variable (SVRV). An SVRV is a mapping that associates a set (rather than a real number) with each element of the sample space. Examples of population features in this class include interval-identified scalar parameters, best linear predictors with interval outcome data, and parameters of semiparametric binary models with interval regressor data. We extend the analogy principle to SVRVs and show that the sample analog estimator of the population identification region is given by a transformation of a Minkowski average of SVRVs. Using the results of the mathematics literature on SVRVs, we show that this estimator converges in probability to the population identification region with respect to the Hausdorff distance. We then show that the Hausdorff distance and the directed Hausdorff distance between the population identification region and the estimator, when properly normalized by $\sqrt{n}$ n , converge in distribution to functions of a Gaussian process whose covariance kernel depends on parameters of the population identification region. We provide consistent bootstrap procedures to approximate these limiting distributions. Using similar arguments as those applied for vector valued random variables, we develop a methodology to test assumptions about the true identification region and its subsets. We show that these results can be used to construct a confidence collection and a directed confidence collection. Those are (respectively) collection of sets that, when specified as a null hypothesis for the true value (a subset of values) of the population identification region, cannot be rejected by our tests. Copyright Copyright 2008 by The Econometric Society.

部分识别模型渐近性质集值随机变量豪斯多夫距离