时间序列回归中单位根的检验

Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression

Biometrika · 1988
被引 1420 · 同刊同年前 2%
ABS 4

中文导读

提出新的非参数单位根检验方法,适用于弱相关和异方差数据,可区分单位根非平稳与趋势平稳,并给出极限分布和局部渐近功效。

Abstract

This paper proposes new tests for detecting the presence of a unit root in quite general time series models. Our approach is nonparametric with respect to nuisance parameters and thereby allows for a very wide class of weakly dependent and possibly heterogeneously distributed data. The tests accommodate models with a fitted drift and a time trend so that they may be used to discriminate between unit root nonstationarity and stationarity about a deterministic trend. The limiting distributions of the statistics are obtained under both the unit root null and a sequence of local alternatives. The latter noncentral distribution theory yields local asymptotic power functions for the tests and facilitates comparisons with alternative procedures due to Dickey & Fuller. Simulations are reported on the performance of the new tests in finite samples.

时间序列分析单位根检验计量经济学非参数统计