新闻对波动率影响的度量与检验

Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility

Journal of Finance · 1993
被引 3666 · 同刊同年前 2%
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

定义了新闻影响曲线,用于衡量新信息如何融入波动率估计,并比较了多种ARCH模型,发现Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle模型表现最佳,EGARCH模型虽能捕捉大部分不对称性但条件方差波动性过高。

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper defines the news impact curve which measures how new information is incorporated into volatility estimates. Various new and existing ARCH models including a partially nonparametric one are compared and estimated with daily Japanese stock return data. New diagnostic tests are presented which emphasize the asymmetry of the volatility response to news. Our results suggest that the model by Glosten, Jagannathan, and Runkle is the best parametric model. The EGARCH also can capture most of the asymmetry; however, there is evidence that the variability of the conditional variance implied by the EGARCH is too high.

新闻冲击曲线波动率非对称性ARCH模型条件方差