层次分析法能帮助我们做出选择吗?一项实验评估

Does AHP help us make a choice? An experimental evaluation

Journal of the Operational Research Society · 2010
被引 62
ABS 3

中文导读

通过实验经济学方法,检验层次分析法(AHP)在真实决策问题中作为选择支持系统的效果,发现AHP能复制个体排序并帮助决策者根据其建议重新调整选择。

Abstract

In this paper, we use experimental economics methods to test how well Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) fares as a choice support system in a real decision problem. AHP provides a ranking that we statistically compare with three additional rankings given by the subjects in the experiment: one at the beginning, one after providing AHP with the necessary pair-wise comparisons and one after learning the ranking provided by AHP. While the rankings vary widely across subjects, we observe that for each individual all four rankings are similar. Hence, subjects are consistent and AHP is, for the most part, able to replicate their rankings. Furthermore, while the rankings are similar, we do find that the AHP ranking helps the decision makers reformulate their choices by taking into account suggestions made by AHP.

实验经济学决策支持系统层次分析法行为经济学