Simultaneous Equation Systems With Heteroscedasticity: Identification, Estimation, and Stock Price Elasticities
提出在高斯拟极大似然框架下利用异方差性识别联立方程系统,估计股票价格与交易量的关系,发现股票需求与供给并非完全弹性。
We give a set of identifying conditions for p-dimensional (p ≥ 2) simultaneous equation systems (SES) with heteroscedasticity in the framework of Gaussian quasi-maximum likelihood (QML). Our conditions rely on the presence of heteroscedasticity in the data rather than identifying restrictions traditionally employed in the literature. The QML estimator is shown to be consistent for the true parameter point and asymptotically normal. Monte Carlo experiments indicate that the QML estimator performs well in comparison to the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator in finite samples, even when the conditional variance is mildly misspecified. We analyze the relationship between traded stock prices and volumes in the setting of SES. Based on a sample of the Russell 3000 stocks, our findings provide new evidence against perfectly elastic demand and supply schedules for equities.