Are We Approaching an Economic Singularity? Information Technology and the Future of Economic Growth
探讨长期经济增长的前景，分析资源枯竭、人口过剩、气候变化、发明枯竭和老龄化社会是否会导致经济停滞甚至衰退。
What are the prospects for long-run economic growth? One prominent line of economic thinking is the trend toward stagnation. Stagnationism has a long history in economics, beginning prominently with Malthus and occasionally surfacing in different guises. Prominent themes here are the following: Will economic growth slow and perhaps even reverse under the weight of resource depletion? Will overpopulation and diminishing returns lower living standards? Will unchecked CO 2 emissions lead to catastrophic changes in climate and human systems? Have we depleted the store of potential great inventions? Will the aging society lead to diminished innovativeness?