The Rise of Services: The Role of Skills, Scale, and Female Labor Supply
本文量化分析了美国服务业份额增长的原因，发现服务规模扩大、对技能密集型产出的需求上升以及技能偏向型技术变革是主要驱动因素，同时模型解释了女性劳动供给增长的三分之二。
This paper provides a quantitative analysis of the growth in the service share in the United States. We model households that make decisions on home and market production of services that vary in their skill intensity at any point in time and vary in their optimal scale over time. We also allow for skill- and sector-biased technology progress. The benchmark model fully accounts for the rise in the service share, with the rising scale of services, rising demand for skill-intensive output, and skill-biased technical change all playing dominant roles. Furthermore, the model with multiperson households confirms that the essential findings of our benchmark model are robust to demographic considerations. It can explain two-thirds of the increase in female labor supply, which also plays a role in services growth.