结构向量自回归:通过异方差性检验长期识别约束

STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIONS: CHECKING IDENTIFYING LONG‐RUN RESTRICTIONS VIA HETEROSKEDASTICITY

Journal of Economic Surveys · 2014
被引 28
人大 AABS 2

中文导读

回顾并对比了三种利用波动性变化来检验结构VAR模型中长期约束的模型,并通过股票价格分解模型展示了实际应用。

Abstract

Abstract Long‐run restrictions have been used extensively for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. Such restrictions are typically just‐identifying but can be checked by utilizing changes in volatility. This paper reviews and contrasts the volatility models that have been used for this purpose. Three main approaches have been used, exogenously generated changes in the unconditional residual covariance matrix, changing volatility modelled by a Markov switching mechanism and multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Using changes in volatility for checking long‐run identifying restrictions in structural VAR analysis is illustrated by reconsidering models for identifying fundamental components of stock prices.

结构向量自回归长期约束异方差性识别检验