Estimating End-Use Demand: A Bayesian Approach
提出用贝叶斯方法解决条件需求分析中的两个关键问题：消除负的终端消费估计和整合直接计量数据，并以澳大利亚家庭电力消费数据验证其可行性。
Eliminating negative end-use or appliance consumption estimates and incorporating direct metering information into the process of generating these estimates; these are two important aspects, of conditional demand analysis (CDA) that will be the focus of this raper.In both cases a Bayesian approach seems a natural way of proceeding.What needs to be investigated is whether it is also a viable and effective approach.In addition, such a framework naturally lends itself to prediction.Our application involves the estimation of electrical appliance consumptions for a sample of Australian households.This application is designed to illustrate the viability of a full Bayesian analysis of the problem.