Portfolio Choice in Markets with Contagion
研究了资产价格受相互激励跳跃过程影响的投资消费问题,发现跳跃聚集导致最优资产配置随时间变化,并给出了对数效用投资者的闭式解。
We consider the problem of optimal investment and consumption in a class of multidimensional jump-diffusion models in which asset prices are subject to mutually exciting jump processes. This captures a type of contagion where each downward jump in an asset's price results in increased likelihood of further jumps, both in that asset and in the other assets. We solve in closed-form the dynamic consumption-investment problem of a log-utility investor in such a contagion model, prove its optimality and discuss features of the solution, including flight-to-quality. The clustering of jumps gives rise to a time-varying optimal asset allocation: as jumps predict more jumps, the portfolio should be optimally rebalanced to hedge the risk of future jumps. The exponential and power utility investors are also considered: in these cases, the optimal strategy can be characterized as a distortion of the strategy of a corresponding non-contagion investor.