Global Prospects for Dairy in Argentina and Chile: Evidence from Field Visits and Model Simulations
结合实地考察和模型模拟，评估阿根廷和智利乳业的国际竞争力，指出两国出口增长潜力及面临的内外部障碍，对关注乳业贸易和政策的研究者有用。
We assess the international competitiveness of the dairy industries in Argentina and Chile, combining recent market intelligence gathered from field visits with quantitative simulations of global policy reform scenarios. Both countries exhibit strong potential for export growth but face significant internal and external barriers to expanding their dairy industries. Global policy reforms would resolve some of the international obstacles to their expansion. Argentina has great potential, but it is handicapped by its current macroeconomic policies, trade policy distortions, and the uncertainty associated with policy implementation. Chile is more limited in terms of natural capacity for expansion, but it has a positive trade and investment environment.