数千次Alpha检验

Thousands of Alpha Tests

Review of Financial Studies · 2020
被引 103
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

提出一个利用机器学习技术的多重假设检验框架,用于在线性资产定价模型中控制数据窥探导致的假阳性,并证明其在大规模检验下的渐近有效性,最后应用于对冲基金业绩评估。

Abstract

Abstract Data snooping is a major concern in empirical asset pricing. We develop a new framework to rigorously perform multiple hypothesis testing in linear asset pricing models, while limiting the occurrence of false positive results typically associated with data snooping. By exploiting a variety of machine learning techniques, our multiple-testing procedure is robust to omitted factors and missing data. We also prove its asymptotic validity when the number of tests is large relative to the sample size, as in many finance applications. To improve the finite sample performance, we also provide a wild-bootstrap procedure for inference and prove its validity in this setting. Finally, we illustrate the empirical relevance in the context of hedge fund performance evaluation.

数据窥探多重假设检验线性资产定价模型机器学习