卖空攻击与债权人挤兑

Short-Selling Attacks and Creditor Runs

Management Science · 2014
被引 45
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了卖空银行股票如何通过影响股价信息含量,加剧债权人不确定性并引发挤兑,最终导致银行倒闭的机制。

Abstract

This paper investigates the mechanism through which short selling of a bank's stocks can trigger the failure of the bank. In the model, creditors, who learn information from stock prices, will grow increasingly unsure about the bank's true fundamentals in facing noisier stock prices; thus a run on the bank is more likely because of creditors' concave payoff. Understanding this, speculators conduct short selling beforehand to amplify (il)liquidity and add noise to stock prices, triggering a bank run, and subsequently profit from the bank's failure. We show that short-selling attacks on a bank involve two runs: the aggressive run among speculators and the conservative run among creditors. These two runs interact and reinforce each other, with compound feedback loops that drastically increase the probability of the collapse of the bank. We discuss policy implications of the model. This paper was accepted by Wei Jiang, finance.

卖空攻击债权人挤兑银行挤兑信息反馈效应