可分解的多任务分位数回归

FACTORISABLE MULTITASK QUANTILE REGRESSION

Econometric Theory · 2020
被引 5
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

提出一种带因子结构的多变量分位数回归模型,允许因子随分位数水平变化,通过核范数正则化估计,并证明了近似估计量的统计精度,适用于金融资产收益等大数据场景。

Abstract

A multivariate quantile regression model with a factor structure is proposed to study data with multivariate responses with covariates. The factor structure is allowed to vary with the quantile levels, which is more flexible than the classical factor models. Assuming the number of factors is small, and the number of responses and the input variables are growing with the sample size, the model is estimated with the nuclear norm regularization. The incurred optimization problem can only be efficiently solved in an approximate manner by off-the-shelf optimization methods. Such a scenario is often seen when the empirical loss is nonsmooth or the numerical procedure involves expensive subroutines, for example, singular value decomposition. To show that the approximate estimator is still statistically accurate, we establish a nonasymptotic bound on the Frobenius risk and prediction risk. For implementation, a numerical procedure that provably marginalizes the approximation error is proposed. The merits of our model and the proposed numerical procedures are demonstrated through the Monte Carlo simulation and an application to finance involving a large pool of asset returns.

因子结构多任务分位数回归核范数正则化近似估计误差