Monitoring Targeting Performance When Decentralized Allocations to the Poor Are Unobserved
研究中央政府在无法观测地方贫困项目受益情况时,如何利用贫困地图和地区支出分配来识别对贫困与非贫困人口的平均分配差异,并分解国家层面的瞄准绩效。以阿根廷反贫困项目为例评估改革前后的绩效变化。
How can a central government monitor the performance of a decentralized poverty program when the incidence of the program's benefits is unobserved at the local level? This article shows that, using a poverty map and the corresponding spending allocation across geographic areas, one can identify the latent differences in mean program allocations to the poor and the nonpoor. The national measure of targeting performance can also be decomposed into subgroups. An application to an antipoverty program in Argentina is used to assess the program's performance before and after reforms. Increases in funding and changes in program design brought large gains to the poor, although performance differed across provinces.