On the Timing and Pricing of Dividends
研究了股息剥离的期限结构,发现短期资产的预期回报、夏普比率和波动率高于指数,但贝塔值低于1,且短期资产存在过度波动和回报可预测性,与主流理论不符。
We present evidence on the term structure of the equity premium. We recover prices of dividend strips, which are short-term assets that pay dividends on the stock index every period up to period T and nothing thereafter. It is short-term relative to the index because the index pays dividends in perpetuity. We find that expected returns, Sharpe ratios, and volatilities on short-term assets are higher than on the index, while their CAPM betas are below one. Short-term assets are more volatile than their realizations, leading to excess volatility and return predictability. Our findings are inconsistent with many leading theories.