Do Individual Investors Have Asymmetric Information Based on Work Experience?
利用挪威10年个人投资者交易数据,发现投资者偏好持有自己行业股票,但这类投资回报异常为负,过度自信是可能原因。
ABSTRACT Using a novel data set covering all individual investors' stock market transactions in Norway over 10 years, we analyze whether individual investors have a preference for professionally close stocks, and whether they make excess returns on such investments. After excluding own‐company stock holdings, investors hold 11% of their portfolio in stocks within their two‐digit industry of employment. Given the poor hedging properties of such investments, one would expect abnormally high returns. In contrast, all estimates of abnormal returns are negative, in many cases statistically significant. Overconfidence seems the most likely explanation for the excessive trading in professionally close stocks.