R2与特质风险不可互换

R2 and Idiosyncratic Risk Are Not Interchangeable

Accounting Review · 2014
被引 153
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究发现,文献中常将R2和特质波动率互换使用,但两者并不等价:高特质波动率(低R2)更像噪音,且R2中的系统性风险会干扰结果,建议研究者控制系统性风险并用其他指标验证。

Abstract

ABSTRACT A growing literature investigates the association between stock return variation and several aspects of information and governance structures, in both a cross-country setting and a cross-firm setting within the U.S. Papers use either idiosyncratic stock return volatility or R2 as interchangeable measures of firm-specific return variation but report inconsistent results. An important reason for the differing interpretations is the assumption about whether lower R2 (or higher ) captures firm-specific news or noise. We document that higher (or equivalently, lower R2) resembles noise. In addition, we show, analytically and empirically, that different results obtain when using R2 or because the systematic risk inherent in the R2 metric is also correlated with the independent variable of interest. Therefore, we recommend that when assessing the association between R2 (or ) and some independent variable, researchers (1) control for elements of systematic risk and (2) triangulate their findings with other measures of information environment. Data Availability: The data in this study are available from commercial providers, e.g., WRDS, Compustat, CRSP, I/B/E/S.

R2特质风险系统性风险信息环境