投资通讯中的羊群行为:理论与证据

Herding among Investment Newsletters: Theory and Evidence

Journal of Finance · 1999
被引 730
人大 A+FT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

构建模型说明分析师在声誉高、能力低或公共信息与私人信息冲突时容易产生羊群行为,并用投资通讯数据验证了这些预测。

Abstract

A model is developed which implies that if an analyst has high reputation or low ability, or if there is strong public information that is inconsistent with the analyst's private information, she is likely to herd. Herding is also common when informative private signals are positively correlated across analysts. The model is tested using data from analysts who publish investment newsletters. Consistent with the model's implications, the empirical results indicate that a newsletter analyst is likely to herd on Value Line's recommendation if her reputation is high, if her ability is low, or if signal correlation is high.

羊群行为投资通讯分析师声誉信号相关性