The Elephant In The Ground: Managing Oil And Sovereign Wealth
提出了一个统一框架，将地下石油资产纳入主权财富基金的投资组合管理，探讨了杠杆、对冲、预防性储蓄及石油开采速度等问题，对挪威等石油出口国的基金管理有实际指导意义。
One of the most important developments in international finance and resource economics in the past twenty years is the rapid and widespread emergence of the $6 trillion sovereign wealth fund industry. Oil exporters typically ignore below-ground assets when allocating these funds, and ignore above-ground assets when extracting oil. We present a unified stylized framework for considering both. Subsoil oil should alter a fund's portfolio through additional leverage and hedging. First-best spending should be a share of total wealth, and any unhedgeable volatility must be managed by precautionary savings. If oil prices are pro-cyclical, oil should be extracted faster than the Hotelling rule to generate a risk premium on oil wealth. Finally, we discuss how our analysis could improve the management of Norway's fund in practice.