Collusion in Auctions with Constrained Bids: Theory and Evidence from Public Procurement
研究了重复采购拍卖中合谋机制与投标约束的相互作用,发现最低限价会削弱合谋,并利用日本采购数据验证了这一反直觉预测。
We study the mechanics of cartel enforcement and its interaction with bidding constraints in the context of repeated procurement auctions. Under collusion, bidding constraints weaken cartels by limiting the scope of punishment. This yields a test of collusive behavior exploiting the counterintuitive prediction that introducing minimum prices can lower the winning-bid distribution. The model’s predictions are borne out in Japanese procurement data, where we find evidence that minimum prices weakened collusion. A robust design insight is that setting a minimum price at the bottom of the observed winning-bid distribution necessarily improves over a minimum price of zero.