Forward Market and Signals of Quality
分析垄断者如何通过远期交易传递产品质量信息,发现高质量垄断者利用远期交易降低通过现货价格传递质量的成本,使信号更有效。
We analyze how information about quality may be conveyed via forward trading. A privately informed monopolist has the opportunity to make forward sales. Speculators and consumers, participating in the forward and the spot markets respectively, observe the monopolist's decisions in these markets. We show that forward trading may emerge in equilibrium although the monopolist has neither insurance nor hedging incentives. Indeed, the high-quality monopolist uses forward trading to reduce the cost of signalling quality through spot prices. We conclude that forward trading indirectly contributes to signal quality more efficiently in the spot market. Copyright 2003 by the RAND Corporation.