Climate Politics from Kyoto to Bonn: From Little to Nothing?
研究了美国退出《京都议定书》及波恩气候政策会议关于碳汇信用和排放交易的规定如何改变议定书的经济与环境影响，发现美国退出和波恩修正案使议定书效果降至无约束水平。
We investigate how the U.S. withdrawal from the Kyoto Protocol and the provisions of the Bonn climate policy conference on sink credits and emissions trading will change the economic and environmental impacts of the Protocol in its originalform. Based on simulations with a large-scale computable general equilibrium model, we find that the U.S. withdrawal and amendments of Bonn reduce the Kyoto Protocol’s impact to business-as-usual without binding emission constraints. U.S. compliance under the new Bonn provisions, on the other hand, would accommodate a substantial cut in global emissions at relatively small compliance costs for OECD countries.