检验不平等与实际收入之间协整关系的陷阱

PITFALLS IN TESTING FOR COINTEGRATION BETWEEN INEQUALITY AND THE REAL INCOME

Economic Inquiry · 2016
被引 0
ABS 3

中文导读

质疑Frank(2009)关于美国州级收入不平等与实际人均收入存在长期正相关关系的结论,指出其方法存在设定错误和面板协整检验不适用的问题,并采用允许截面依赖的检验发现两者间无协整关系。

Abstract

Frank (2009) constructed a comprehensive panel of state‐level income inequality measures using individual tax filing data from the Internal Revenue Service. Employing an array of cointegration exercises for the data, he reported a positive long‐run relationship between income inequality and the real income per capita in the United States. This article questions the validity of his findings. First, we suggest a misspecification problem in his approach regarding the order of integration in the inequality index, which shows evidence of nonstationarity only for the post‐1980 data. Second, we demonstrate that his findings are not reliable because the panel cointegration test he used requires cross‐section independence, which is inappropriate for the U.S. state‐level data. Employing panel tests that allow cross‐section dependence, we find no evidence of cointegration between inequality and the real income.

经济学收入不平等计量经济学面板数据协整分析